Bitcoin Dump Stalls At 100-day SMA: Here’s Why BTC Could Rally Again

Bitcoin is down more than 10% from the $10,090 high against the US Dollar. BTC found support near the 100-day simple moving average and it could start a fresh increase.

  • Bitcoin climbed to a new monthly high at $10,097 before starting a downside correction.
  • The recent pre-halving dump found support near the 100-day simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near $8,000 on the daily chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • Ethereum and ripple are also down more than 10% and both declined below key supports.

Bitcoin Dives Before Halving

This past week, bitcoin price extended its rally above the $9,200 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC price even broke the $9,500 resistance and settled well above the 100-day simple moving average.

It traded above the $10,000 level and formed a new monthly high at $10,097. It started a strong decline from the $10,097 high and broke many supports near the $9,500 and $9,200 levels.

Bitcoin even declined below the $8,500 support, plus the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $6,494 low to $10,097 high. However, the price found support near the $8,000 zone and the 100-day simple moving average.

The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $6,494 low to $10,097 high is also acting as a support. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near $8,000 on the daily chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin Price

If the price fails to stay above the trend line support, $8,000, and the 100-day simple moving average, there are chances of a trend change. In the mentioned case, the price could extend its decline towards the $7,350 and $7,000 levels in the coming days.

Dump and Pump

If the 100-day SMA remains intact, bitcoin price is likely to start a fresh increase above the $8,800 and $9,000 resistance levels. The first major resistance is near the $9,200 level, followed by $9,500.

A clear break above the $9,500 resistance may perhaps open the doors for a fresh push towards the $10,000 level in the near term. Any further gains will most likely call for a strong surge towards the $11,000 and $11,200 levels.

Technical indicators:

Daily MACD – The MACD is slowly losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD declined sharply and it is currently approaching the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $8,200 followed by $8,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $9,000, $9,500 and $10,000.

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Source: Newsbtc

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