Bitcoin Just Saw Key Technical Correction But 100 SMA Can Trigger New Rally

Bitcoin traded as high as $9,950 and recently started a downside correction against the US Dollar. BTC price is likely to remains well supported above $9,000 and it could continue higher.

  • Bitcoin is currently correcting lower from the $9,950 and $10,000 resistance levels.
  • The price is still trading well above the $9,200 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $9,210 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct lower towards $9,200 and $9,000, but it is likely to bounce back.

Bitcoin Correcting Gains

There was a steady rise in bitcoin price above the $9,200 and $9,500 resistance levels against the US Dollar. BTC price extended its rise above the $9,700 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

It even traded close to the $10,000 resistance (as discussed in yesterday’s post). However, the bulls failed to gain strength for more gains above $9,950 and $10,000. A high was formed near $9,950 and the price is currently correcting lower.

It traded below the $9,600 level, and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $8,186 swing low to $9,950 high. Bitcoin even spiked below the $9,400 and $9,300 levels.

However, the bulls defended the $9,200 support zone (the previous key resistance). There is also a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $9,210 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin Price

If there is a downside break below the trend line, the price could continue to move down towards the $9,070 support zone since it is close to the 100 hourly simple moving average. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $8,186 swing low to $9,950 high is also near $9,070.

Once the current correction wave is complete, the price is likely to bounce back from $9,200 or $9,080 in the coming sessions.

Bearish Reversal?

If bitcoin settles below the trend line support and breaks the $9,070 support, it might struggle to stay above the $9,000 support zone.

A downside break below the $9,000 support may possibly change the trend and the bears are likely to aim a larger decline towards $8,400 or even $8,200 in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $9,200 followed by $9,070.

Major Resistance Levels – $9,600, $9,800 and $10,000.

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Source: Newsbtc

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