ビットコインは2週間の安値に落ちます $6 数十億のオプションが期限切れになる—次は?

ビットコインの (BTC) price has been in retreat, ダウン 20% since the recent all-time high at $62,000 in mid-March. As crypto markets are frequently volatile, this may very well be another normal pullback within the current bull cycle.

Corrections are needed to generate strength for further upward momentum as markets can’t go up in a straight line. さらに, レコード $6 billion expiration of options is expected on March 26, which often brings some volatility.

It is also quite common for the market’s momentum to shift momentum once the options expiration date comes and goes.

$53K level has to become support to gain bullish momentum

BTC / USD4時間足チャート. ソース: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows an apparent downtrend since the recent all-time high at $62,000 with bearish support/resistance flips.

関係なく, Bitcoin’s price has rejected the critical resistance zone at $56,500 in the latest rally after Tesla announced it has started accepting (and holding) BTC in the United States for its vehicles. As that price level couldn’t break for more upside, renewed tests of the $53,000 support zone were inevitable.

Given that the $53,000 support zone has been tested multiple times in recent weeks, it became likely that this level may not hold this time around. したがって、, the price collapsed on March 25 and dropped to as low as $51,500.

したがって、, Bitcoin’s price must now regain the $53,200-$53,800 area to revive any bullish momentum in the near term. If that doesn’t happen, it’s likely to see more downside to the next support zone between $49,500 そして $51,500.

Overall structure still heavily bullish

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. ソース: TradingView

The daily chart for BTC/USD still paints a bullish outlook showing consistent higher lows and higher highs. In that perspective, a correction to as low as $44,000 would still mean that the bullish construction remains valid.

In that regard, Bitcoin’s price currently has massive support between $49,500 そして $51,500 and is unlikely to fall further.

さらに, the bearish divergence isn’t confirmed until the market starts to make lower lows and lower highs below $44,000, as previously stated.

Dollar showing strength

我ら. Dollar Currency Index 1-day chart. ソース: TradingView

アメリカ. Dollar is showing strength once again as the yields are also running up substantially. So it’s not surprising to see risk assets falling, namely commodities and cryptocurrencies as well.

A rebounding USD is typically bearish for crypto markets, 特に短期的には. But this latest uptick in the dollar is likely temporary because it’s entering strong resistance. さらに, the structure still shows lower lows and lower highs, meaning that a trend reversal should be expected relatively soon.

したがって、, if the dollar’s momentum is halted, cryptocurrency markets and more upside for Bitcoin becomes likely.

A possible scenario for Bitcoin

BTC / USD4時間足チャート. ソース: TradingView

The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows a downtrend, in which a retest of the $53,200-53,800 will likely be rejected. したがって、, more downside is the most likely scenario in this current price construction in the near term.

The green zone shown in the chart above is the area to watch for a potential bullish divergence or immediate bounce. If such a move occurs, the ideal scenario for the bulls would then be to establish a higher low.

Once such a higher low is established, Bitcoin’s price will be primed to continue climbing with the next points of interest at $68,000 そして $82,000.

ここに記載されている見解や意見は、 著者 必ずしもコインテレグラフの見解を反映しているわけではありません. すべての投資と取引の動きにはリスクが伴います. 決定を下すときは、独自の調査を行う必要があります.

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ソース: コインテレグラフ

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