ビットコインの価格チャートは「イーロンマスク’ ポンプは外れ値でした—では、今何が起こっているのでしょうか?

ビットコイン (BTC) has seen a very volatile week, as the price of Bitcoin jumped around from $32,000 に $38,500 and back toward $33,000 in a matter of 24 時間.

The initial spike to $38,500 happened in minutes after Elon Musk added #Bitcoin to his Twitter profile.

しかしながら, no follow-up of that price movement was seen on the charts as Bitcoin dropped substantially in the following hours. 現在, インクルード $34,500 area is a significant resistance zone to break through if the market wants to sustain the bullish momentum.

Failure to break $38,000 causing dropdown

XBT/USD 4-hour chart. ソース: TradingView

The levels that are critical to watch are highlighted in the chart above. 簡単に言えば, $38,000 must break for the rally to continue. Flipping this level for support opens the door to new all-time highs.

しかしながら, the surge couldn’t be sustained yesterday. After the $38,000 level’s failure, インクルード $34,000 level couldn’t provide the heavily needed support for further upward momentum.

したがって、, インクルード “Elon Musk pumpcan be considered an outlier, and the general trend continues. This is a downtrend since the peak high at $42,000 that most likely will continue unless Bitcoin’s price can break through $34,500 and flip it into support.

Dollar showing strength is bad news for Bitcoin

我ら. Dollar Currency Index 1-day chart. ソース: TradingView

One of the primary arguments for more Bitcoin downside would be the recovering U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY). This index shows a potential bottoming formation as a bullish divergence is seen at the significant 90-point level.

After this, the bullish divergence will be confirmed through a higher low, indicating that more upside is likely.

Remarkably, the previous relief rally on the DXY Index in September caused a 20% correction for Bitcoin. しかしながら, since that relief rally, the DXY Index has shown massive weakness, one of the significant variables for the enormous increase of Bitcoin’s price to $42,000.

しかしながら, February isn’t the best month for equities. The same can be concluded about Bitcoin, as February 2018 was when Bitcoin crashed to $6,000 after hitting its previous all-time high.

したがって、, a rebounding DXY could add to the bearish sentiment for Bitcoin in February as well.

Bitcoin Dominance Index eyes relief rally

BTC Dominance 1-week chart. ソース: TradingView

Historical charts show previous market behavior with many patterns being cyclical.

When Bitcoin’s dominance topped out in December, massive surges were seen across the altcoin market. しかしながら, after such an enormous surge, a healthy correction would not come as a surpri to test previous resistance levels.

Those tests would mean a relief rally for Bitcoin dominance in February, which may open the door for a huge run for the entire crypto market from March onwards.

Critical levels to watch for Bitcoin

XBT/USD 3-hour chart. ソース: TradingView

The critical levels to watch are easy to define. 最初, Bitcoin’s price has to reclaim the $34,500 level as support to sustain bullish momentum. それが起こった場合, the level at $38,000 will be retested. Most likely, that test will result in a breakout above $38,000 toward the all-time high.

しかしながら, if Bitcoin’s price can’t break through $34,500, further downward momentum is likely, as the chart shows. In that perspective, the critical level to watch is the $30,000 領域. If that fails to sustain support (すでに多くのテストの後), 私はに向かって低下を期待しています $25,000 と21週間のMA.

ここに記載されている見解や意見は、 著者 必ずしもコインテレグラフの見解を反映しているわけではありません. すべての投資と取引の動きにはリスクが伴います. 決定を下すときは、独自の調査を行う必要があります.

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ソース: コインテレグラフ

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