As Bitcoin Regains Lost Ground, Options Traders Bet on $52K Move By Late January

Despite bitcoin’s 20% crash on Monday, some options traders are betting on a continued price rally in coming weeks.

At the press time price of $35,580, bitcoin is up nearly 16% from the low of $30,305 observed on Monday. 비록 그렇다 하더라도, the number one cryptocurrency by market value is still well short of the weekend highs above $40,000.

일부 상인, 그러나, have been buying Jan. 29 expiry call options at the $52,000, $64,000, 과 $72,000 strike prices on the Deribit exchange.

A call option gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific date. A call option is a bullish bet, while a put option is a bearish bet.

Bitcoin options trades on Deribit
출처: Laevitas

A total of 4,000 contracts have been bought at the $52,000 strike in the past 24 시간, according to data provided by Swiss-based data analytics platform Laevitas. 그만큼 $64,000 과 $72,000 strike call options show buying volume of 3,250 과 2,000, 각기.

Theoretically, the purchase of the $52,000 strike call is a bet that bitcoin would rise above that level on or before Jan. 29, making the option “in-the-money.”

현재, the three contracts are out-of-the-money (OTM), with the spot price well below these strike prices, and are trading at 0.045 비트 코인, 0.0260 비트 코인, 과 0.0190 BTC, 각기.

The deep OTM options are relatively cheap and tend to gain significant value if the price rally materializes, yielding big returns on small investments. 따라서, seasoned traders with bullish price expectations often buy call options at higher strike prices.

따라서, the latest call option purchases at the $52,000, $64,000, 과 $72,000 strikes indicate bullish market sentiment. Other option market indicators are making a similar call.

Bitcoin put-call skew
출처: Skew

The one-, three- and six-month put-call skews, which measure the cost of puts relative to calls, remain entrenched into the negative territory. That’s a sign of call options, or bullish bets, drawing higher demand than puts.

According to analysts, on-chain fundamentals remain strong and the path of least resistance is to the higher side. “Don’t let short-term $BTC price action distract you. Fundamentals are strong, the network is healthy. Zoom out and HODL,” Rafael Schultze-Kraft, CTO at the blockchain analytics firm Glassnode, 트윗.

하나, the cryptocurrency may have a tough time charting a quick move to fresh record highs above the peak of $41,962 reached on Saturday, given the U.S. Dollar Index is witnessing a recovery rally, weakening bitcoin and gold’s appeal in the markets.

Also read: Institutions Use This Strategy to Hide Their Bitcoin Orders


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