Bitcoin 역사적 변동성 프랙탈은 강세 폭발을 양조

Bitcoin price has been trapped in a tightening trading range and has barely moved in weeks. The top cryptocurrency by market cap has been boring compared to its characteristically volatile self.

Looking back at the asset’s historic volatility, a fractal pattern could be forming that suggests the price per BTC is about to blast off to unprecedented heights.

Fractals And How History Doesn’t Rhyme But It Often Repeats

Mark Twain said that “history doesn’t repeat, but if often rhymes.” The statement best explains the theory behind repeating price patterns called fractals.

관련 독서 | 힘의 표시를위한 비트 코인 준비, 하지만 어느 방향으로 부서 질까요

These fractals appear similar to another point in historic price action, and help analysts to predict and anticipate future market behavior. The results can be mixed, as rarely do things play out exactly the same. This fact has earned fractals a negative reputation, 하나, even in Bitcoin there is some specific behavior that can be expected.

bitcoin fractal

Every cycle looks similar by comparison when zooming out | 출처: BLX on TradingView.com

예를 들면, each major breakout past all-time high resulted in a parabolic uptrend and the visual comparisons are undeniable. The most recent uptrend of which has come to a screeching halt, turning a stumble into a full-on 50% or more collapse.

While the market ponders if the bull trend is kaput, even technicals have become mixed. There is a handful of doji candles on the weekly, a tight trading range, and volatility has dropped to an important level. All of these signs point to a potential reaction, and if “history” has anything to do with it, the volatility should be released to the upside.

What Historical Volatility Says About The Bitcoin Bull Run Finale

All throughout nature there are fractal-like patterns that repeat again and again. Price action in financial assets commonly exhibit such repeating behavior, such as cycling between

베어 마켓은 다양한 유형의 자산에 대한 가격 하락으로 정의됩니다.. 약세 투자자는 가격 하락 움직임으로 이익을 얻고 자합니다.. 곰을 생각할 수 있습니다, 투자에 그의 큰 발을 아래로 휘두르는, 압도적 인 가격.

»더 읽기

‘ href =”https://www.newsbtc.com/dictionary/bear/” 데이터 wpel-link =”내부의”>bear and bull markets.

Bitcoin is no different, and is known for patterns that appear again and again. Looking back at the Historical Volatility indicator on weekly timeframes, we may have one of those instances brewing.

bitcoin volatility fractal

Mid-cycle consolidation then kicks volatility into high gear | 출처: TradingView.com의 BTCUSD

During the previous bull market, which is clear the current cycle isn’t quite following in terms of “only up” price action, after one of the largest shakeouts, volatility finally held above a key level and kickstarted the last leg of the bull market.

Anyone who had assumed it was the peak of the cycle, would have been left in the dust as Bitcoin churned out another 900%+ of bull market ROI and volatility went parabolic.

관련 독서 | Bitcoin Trend Strength Indicator Suggests Bull Run Isn’t Yet Over

Bitcoin is back and trying to hold above a very similar support line, and if successful, should send volatility back along a parabolic curve along with price action. That would put the top of the current bull cycle at around December, which – historically – has marked a significant top or bottom every year since 2017.

Still think history doesn’t rhyme?

따르다 트위터의 @TonySpilotro 또는 통해 TonyTrades 전보. 콘텐츠는 교육적이며 투자 조언으로 간주되어서는 안 됩니다..

iStockPhoto의 추천 이미지, TradingView.com의 차트

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