비트코인 점프 10% 에 24 시간, 죽은 고양이 바운스 또는 실제 이동?

Bitcoin has jumped more than 10% 마지막으로 24 hours as the coin’s price reaches $47.5k. Past pattern may shed light on whether this is just a dead cat bounce or a lead up to a real move up.

Bitcoin Netflows Of Past Dead Cat Bounces Compared

CryptoQuant 게시물에서 지적한 바와 같이, a look at the BTC netflows of the past cycles may reveal the pattern that dead cat bounces have followed historically.

The Bitcoin exchange “netflow” is an indicator that’s defined as the difference between the inflow and the outflow.

When exchanges observe higher inflows compared to the outflows, their reserves gain a net amount of BTC and the netflow shows positive values.

반면에, higher outflows lead to a net amount of Bitcoin leaving exchanges, and so the netflow takes negative values.

Sustained negative values of the indicator have usually been bullish for the price of the coin as they imply that there is a buying pressure in the market while positive values can be bearish.

지금, here is how the 2018 dead cat bounce looked like with the netflows:

비트코인 2018

The Bitcoin netflows during 2018

위 그래프에서 볼 수 있듯이, the indicator showed highly positive values during the formation of the dead cat bounce in 2018.

아래는 다른 차트입니다, this time for the year 2019:

비트코인 2019 dead cat

The dead cat bounce of 2019

Similarly to the other chart, here too the move up ended up as a dead cat bounce as Bitcoin inflows dominated on exchanges.

하나, as soon as the netflows started decreasing and eventually turned negative, the price saw a sharp increase.

관련 독서 | 언제: Bitcoin Indicators Now Look Similar To Q4 2020, Big Move Ahead?

지금, here is a chart of what happened in 2017:

비트코인 2017 Dead Cat

Bitcoin price in 2017 vs the netflows

Here when the peak happened, the netflows were also highly positive and so the price fell. But the inflows also sharply dropped off soon after and what followed was a big price move up.

관련 독서 | 비트코인 약세 신호: 온체인 데이터는 고래가 판매를 시작했음을 보여줍니다

드디어, how do the 2021 netflows look like?

비트코인 2021

Bitcoin netflows right now

The peak that formed after the ATH this year was indeed a dead cat bounce as the highly positive netflows confirm. 하나, it’s different this time.

The netflows look to be severely negative now. With these values, it looks more likely that the trend will be similar to 2017 where negative netflows took the price up.

글을 쓰는 시점, Bitcoin’s price floats around $47.5k, 쪽으로 15% 지난 7일 동안. Here is a chart showing the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days:

비트코인 가격 차트

BTC's price surges up | 원천: TradingView의 BTCUSD
Unsplash.com의 추천 이미지, TradingView.com의 차트, CryptoQuant.com

애드블록 테스트 (왜?)

원천: 뉴스 BTC

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