Bitcoin Jumps 10% Trong 24 Giờ, Mèo chết tung lên hoặc di chuyển thực sự về phía trước?

Bitcoin has jumped more than 10% cuối cùng 24 hours as the coin’s price reaches $47.5k. Past pattern may shed light on whether this is just a dead cat bounce or a lead up to a real move up.

Bitcoin Netflows Of Past Dead Cat Bounces Compared

Như được chỉ ra bởi một bài đăng CryptoQuant, a look at the BTC netflows of the past cycles may reveal the pattern that dead cat bounces have followed historically.

The Bitcoin exchange “netflow” is an indicator that’s defined as the difference between the inflow and the outflow.

When exchanges observe higher inflows compared to the outflows, their reserves gain a net amount of BTC and the netflow shows positive values.

Mặt khác, higher outflows lead to a net amount of Bitcoin leaving exchanges, and so the netflow takes negative values.

Sustained negative values of the indicator have usually been bullish for the price of the coin as they imply that there is a buying pressure in the market while positive values can be bearish.

Hiện nay, here is how the 2018 dead cat bounce looked like with the netflows:

Bitcoin 2018

The Bitcoin netflows during 2018

As you can see in the above graph, the indicator showed highly positive values during the formation of the dead cat bounce in 2018.

Below is another chart, this time for the year 2019:

Bitcoin 2019 dead cat

The dead cat bounce of 2019

Similarly to the other chart, here too the move up ended up as a dead cat bounce as Bitcoin inflows dominated on exchanges.

Tuy nhiên, as soon as the netflows started decreasing and eventually turned negative, the price saw a sharp increase.

Đọc liên quan | Khi nào: Bitcoin Indicators Now Look Similar To Q4 2020, Big Move Ahead?

Hiện nay, here is a chart of what happened in 2017:

Bitcoin 2017 Dead Cat

Bitcoin price in 2017 vs the netflows

Here when the peak happened, the netflows were also highly positive and so the price fell. But the inflows also sharply dropped off soon after and what followed was a big price move up.

Đọc liên quan | Tín hiệu giảm giá của Bitcoin: Dữ liệu trực tuyến cho thấy cá voi đã bắt đầu bán

Cuối cùng, how do the 2021 netflows look like?

Bitcoin 2021

Bitcoin netflows right now

The peak that formed after the ATH this year was indeed a dead cat bounce as the highly positive netflows confirm. Tuy nhiên, it’s different this time.

The netflows look to be severely negative now. With these values, it looks more likely that the trend will be similar to 2017 where negative netflows took the price up.

Tại thời điểm viết, Bitcoin’s price floats around $47.5k, lên 15% in the last seven days. Đây là biểu đồ cho thấy xu hướng giá của đồng xu trong năm ngày qua:

Biểu đồ giá bitcoin

BTC's price surges up | Nguồn: BTCUSD trên TradingView
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