Bitcoin (BTC) is facing rejection near $50,000, indicating that bears are not ready to give up without a fight. Many analysts expect Bitcoin to soar in the last quarter of the year and stock-to-flow model creator PlanB says the “worst-case scenario” for Bitcoin in October is $63,000 và $98,000 by November.

PlanB is not alone in his bullish projection. Using Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) indicator during the four-year cycle, Twitter commentator TechDev suggests that the second leg of the 2021 bull run may just be getting started. The trader expects Bitcoin’s cycle top to be around $200,000.

Hiệu suất thị trường tiền điện tử hàng ngày. Nguồn: Coin360

While historical projections may be pointing for a rally in the last quarter, the rise may not be linear. The United States equity market’s volatility in October is 36% higher than the average for the remaining 11 tháng, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. Due to Bitcoin’s high correlation with the S&P 500, traders may be in for a roller coaster ride in October.

Could Bitcoin follow its historical precedence and rally to the upside? And will altcoins join in on the party? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 tiền điện tử để tìm hiểu.

BTC / USDT

The bulls pushed Bitcoin above the overhead resistance at $48,843.20 vào tháng 10. 3 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates that bears are defending the level aggressively. The price has been trading between the 50-day simple moving average (Trung học phổ thông) ($46,667) và $48,843.20 trong hai ngày qua.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày BTC / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

If bulls drive and sustain the price above the overhead resistance, cặp BTC / USDT có thể lấy đà và tăng lên $50,000 và sau đó đến $52,920.

Đường trung bình động theo cấp số nhân trong 20 ngày (EMA) ($45,478) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, chỉ ra con đường ít kháng cự nhất là đi lên.

Trái ngược với giả định này, if bears pull the price below the 50-day SMA, cặp tiền có thể giảm xuống đường EMA 20 ngày. A bounce off this support will be a positive sign and the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle.

The advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then drop to the 100-day SMA ($41,935).

ETH / USDT

The bulls pushed Ether (ETH) above the downtrend line and the moving averages on Oct. 1, but the bears have not thrown in the towel yet. The sellers are attempting to stall the up-move near $3,500 and pull the price back below the 50-day SMA ($3,297).

Biểu đồ hàng ngày ETH / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

Nếu họ quản lý để làm điều đó, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($3,194). This is an important support for the bulls to defend because a break below it could attract further selling. The pair may then drop to the psychological level at $3,000 and later to the 100-day SMA ($2,841).

Ngoài ra, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls may make one more attempt to propel the price above $3,500. If the price sustains above this resistance, cặp đôi có thể tăng lên $3,676.28 và sau đó đến $4,000.

BNB / USDT

Binance Coin (BNB) has been facing strong resistance at the overhead resistance at $433 but the positive sign is that bulls have not given up much ground. This indicates that buyers are holding on to their positions as they anticipate a move higher.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày BNB / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

EMA 20 ngày ($395) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. If buyers drive and sustain the price above $433, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $518.90.

Trái ngược với giả định này, nếu giá giảm so với mức hiện tại, cặp tiền có thể giảm xuống đường EMA 20 ngày. Nếu giá phục hồi khỏi mức này, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $433. A break and close below the 20-day EMA could keep the pair range-bound for a few days.

ADA / USDT

The bulls pushed Cardano (CÓ) trên đường EMA 20 ngày ($2.25) for the past two consecutive days but they could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are defending the 20-day EMA.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày ADA / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

The price turned down from the 20-day EMA on Oct. 4 and the bears will now try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the critical support at $1.94. If this level gives way, the pair could witness aggressive selling and plummet to $1.60.

This negative view will invalidate if the price turns up from the current level or rebounds off the $1.94 support and rises above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2.46) where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. A break above this level could clear the path for an up-move to $2.97.

SOL / USDT

Solana’s (SOL) recovery reached the 61.8% Mức thoái lui Fibonacci tại $177.80 vào tháng 10. 3. This level is acting as a stiff resistance and the bears are trying to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($150).

Biểu đồ hàng ngày SOL / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the current levels or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break above $177.80. Nếu điều đó xảy ra, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $200 and then retest the all-time high at $216.

Ngoài ra, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that traders are closing their positions. The pair may then drop to the 50-day SMA ($129) và sau đó đến $116.

XRP/USDT

RIpple (XRP) đã tăng trên đường EMA 20 ngày ($1.01) vào tháng 10. 1 and bulls tried to push the price above the $1.07 overhead resistance on Oct. 3. Tuy nhiên, the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are defending the 50-day SMA ($1.10) forcefully.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày XRP / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

The price is currently stuck in the tight range between the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA. Both moving averages are flattish and the RSI is near the midpoint, cho thấy sự cân bằng giữa cung và cầu.

This balance will tilt in favor of buyers if the price breaks and sustains above the 50-day SMA. The XRP/USDT pair could then start its journey toward the next resistance at $1.41.

Ngược lại, if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 100-day SMA ($0.90). A break below this support could signal that bears are back in command.

DOT / USDT

Polkadot (DOT) broke above the moving averages and the downtrend line on Oct. 1, which was the first indication that bears may be losing their grip. The bulls tried to push the price above the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern on Oct. 2, but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates selling at higher levels.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày DOT / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

The DOT/USDT pair formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, cho thấy sự do dự giữa phe bò và phe gấu. This uncertainty has resolved to the downside on Oct. 4 and the bears are trying to sink the price below the moving averages.

Nếu họ thành công, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The pair could then challenge the neckline of the H&S pattern.

Ngược lại, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls will once again try to propel the price above the right shoulder and retest the critical resistance at $38.77.

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DOGE / USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) recovered to the 20-day EMA ($0.22) vào tháng 10. 1, but the bulls have not been able to sustain the price above this resistance in the past few days. This shows that sentiment is negative and bears are selling on rallies.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày DOGE / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

The long-legged Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 4 shows that bulls are buying near the $0.21 support while bears are selling near the 100-day SMA ($0.24). If this uncertainty resolves to the downside, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to $0.19 và sau đó đến $0.15.

Ngược lại, if bulls drive and sustain the price above the 100-day SMA, the pair could rally to the downtrend line, một lần nữa có thể hoạt động như một lực cản mạnh mẽ. A break and close above this level will be the first indication that the correction may be ending.

LUNA/USDT

The long wick on the Oct. 3 candlestick suggests that bears attempted to defend the $45.01 level but they could not sustain the lower levels. Aggressive buying by the bulls on Oct. 4 pushed Terra protocol’s LUNA token to a new all-time high.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày LUNA / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

Nếu những con bò đực duy trì mức giá trên $45.01, nó sẽ gợi ý sự bắt đầu của một xu hướng tăng mới. The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls are in control. The LUNA/USDT pair could first rise to $50 and if this psychological hurdle is cleared, điểm dừng tiếp theo có thể là $65.

Ngược lại, nếu giá không duy trì ở trên $45.01, the bears will try to pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($37.45). A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the positive sentiment is intact. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the 50-day SMA ($33.56) để giành được ưu thế.

UNI / USDT

Uniswap (UNI) rose above the 50-day SMA ($25.46) vào tháng 10. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears sold at higher levels. The altcoin formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, cho thấy sự do dự giữa những con bò đực và những con gấu.

Biểu đồ hàng ngày UNI / USDT. Nguồn: TradingView

The uncertainty resolved to the downside and bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($24.02) vào tháng 10. 4, but a positive sign is that bulls bought the dip aggressively, as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

Nếu giá duy trì ở trên $25, the bulls will again try to push the UNI/USDT pair above $27.62. Above this level, the pair could retest the critical resistance at $31.41.

Mặt khác, nếu giá phá vỡ dưới mức trung bình động, cặp có thể giảm xuống $22. This is an important support for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, sự suy giảm có thể kéo dài đến $18.

Các quan điểm và ý kiến ​​được trình bày ở đây chỉ là của tác giả và không nhất thiết phản ánh quan điểm của Cointelegraph. Mọi động thái đầu tư và giao dịch đều có rủi ro. Bạn nên tiến hành nghiên cứu của riêng mình khi đưa ra quyết định.

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