Every uptrend witnesses periodic bouts of profit-booking as short-term traders tend to unwind positions either on adverse news or at critical technical resistance levels. This occurred with Bitcoin (BTC) today as the price momentarily dropped below $48,000 and traders scrambled to close or top up positions before being liquidated.
Elon Musk’s tweet on Feb. 20 that said Bitcoin prices “seem high” and the U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s warning today on Bitcoin being “extremely inefficient” could have dampened short-term sentiment.
Another possible factor that may have exacerbated the fall could have been the unwinding of excessively leveraged long positions. Trong khoảng $1.64 billion worth of Bitcoin futures positions were liquidated during today’s sharp pullback.
Tuy nhiên, derivatives data for Bitcoin futures do not show any negative development, as highlighted by Cointelegraph Markets analyst Marcel Pechman.
Let’s analyze the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to spot the critical levels on the upside and the key support levels on the downside.
Bitcoin broke above the resistance line of the ascending channel on Feb. 19, but could not pick up momentum. This showed that the current uptrend was tiring out. Traders aggressively booked profits today, which pulled the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average ($48,081).
Tuy nhiên, the lower levels continue to attract buyers as seen from the long tail on the daily candlestick. If the price sustains above the midpoint of the channel, the bulls will again try to push the pair above the channel.
Nếu họ quản lý để làm điều đó, the BTC/USD pair could resume the uptrend. Mục tiêu tiếp theo ở phía tăng là $60,974.43 và sau đó $66,000. Các đường trung bình động lên và chỉ số sức mạnh tương đối (RSI) in the positive territory suggest that bulls are in control.
Trái ngược với giả định này, if the price sustains below the midpoint of the channel, the bears will again try to break the 20-day EMA support. Nếu họ quản lý để làm điều đó, cặp tiền có thể giảm xuống mức trung bình động đơn giản trong 50 ngày ($39,885).
ETH / USD
Ether (ETH) từ chối đường kháng cự của kênh tăng dần vào tháng 2. 20, indicating that traders booked profits after the price reached the psychologically important level at $2,000.
The selling continued today and the ETH/USD pair dropped to the support line of the ascending channel. Tuy nhiên, the positive sign is that the bulls purchased the dip as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.
If the buyers can push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($1,753), the positive momentum may remain intact.
Ngược lại, if the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to sink the pair below the channel and the 50-day SMA ($1,465). Nếu họ thành công, the correction could deepen to $1,200 và sau đó đến $1,000.
BNB / USD
Binance Coin (BNB) has been witnessing volatile moves in the past few days. After the sharp rally on Feb. 19, traders aggressively booked profits on Feb. 20. The bulls tried to resume the uptrend on Feb. 21, but the higher levels have again attracted profit-booking.
The bulls are currently attempting to defend the zone between the 50% Mức thoái lui Fibonacci tại $233.3485 và 61.8% mức thoái lui tại $206.1262. Nếu họ thành công, the BNB/USD pair may continue the volatile range-bound action for a few more days.
Ngược lại, nếu những con gấu giảm giá xuống dưới $206.1262, the decline could extend to the 20-day EMA ($168). This is an important support to keep an eye on because a break below it will suggest a trend change and a likely fall to $118.
DOT / USD
Polkadot (DOT) broke above the ascending channel on Feb. 19 and rose to a new all-time high at $42.2848 vào tháng hai. 20. Tuy nhiên, the long wick on the day’s candlestick showed profit-booking at higher levels.
After forming an inside day candlestick pattern on Feb. 21, the DOT/USD pair slumped back into the channel today. Tuy nhiên, the bulls bought the dips and have pushed the price back above the channel.
The buyers will now try to push the price above $42.2848 and resume the uptrend. Mặt khác, the bears will try to sink the pair back into the channel. Nếu họ thành công, the pair may drop to the 20-day EMA ($28.89).
ADA / USD
Cardano (CÓ) surged above the $0.9817712 overhead resistance on Feb. 20 and reached $1.1980811. Tuy nhiên, the long wick on the daily candlestick showed profit-booking at higher levels.
The selling intensified today and that pulled the ADA/USD pair down to the 20-day EMA ($0.834). Tuy nhiên, the long tail on today’s candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels.
If the price sustains above $1, the bulls will try to resume the up-move. A breakout of $1.1980811 could open the doors for a rally to $1.25 và sau đó $1.50.
Ngược lại, nếu giá giảm xuống dưới $0.9817712, the pair may again drop to the 20-day EMA. This is an important support to watch out for because if it cracks, the correction may deepen to $0.6879684.
XRP continues to trade inside the $0.50 đến $0.65 phạm vi. The altcoin bucked the trend today and rallied while most other major cryptocurrencies were witnessing sharp selling.
The price had rallied to $0.65155 today but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This shows the bears have not yet thrown in the towel.
Tuy nhiên, the upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.50) and the RSI in the positive territory suggest the path of least resistance is to the upside. If the bulls can propel and sustain the price above $0.65, cuộc biểu tình có thể kéo dài đến $0.78608.
This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down from the current levels and breaks below the $0.50 ủng hộ. Nếu điều đó xảy ra, the XRP/USD pair may drop to $0.3855.
LTC / USD
The bulls could not sustain Litecoin (LTC) phía trên $240 overhead resistance from Feb. 17 đến tháng hai. 21. This failure to resume the uptrend could have attracted profit-booking from short-term traders, which resulted in a sharp fall today.
The LTC/USD pair broke below the 20-day EMA ($198) và $185.5821 support today, but the long tail on the day’s candlestick shows the bulls purchased this dip. The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint, suggest a balance between supply and demand.
If the price sustains above the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to resume the uptrend. Ngược lại, if the price again slips below the 20-day EMA, the pair may drop to the 50-day SMA ($165). A break below this support could pull the pair down to $120.
LINK / USD
Chuỗi liên kết (LIÊN KẾT) từ chối đường kháng cự của kênh tăng dần vào tháng 2. 20 and formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Feb. 21. The uncertainty of the Doji candlestick was resolved to the downside today.
The LINK/USD pair plunged below the 20-day EMA ($30) and the support line of the channel today. Tuy nhiên, the long tail on the candlestick shows aggressive buying by the bulls at lower levels.
If the bulls can sustain the price inside the channel, nó sẽ gợi ý rằng xu hướng tăng vẫn còn nguyên vẹn. Ngược lại, if the price again breaks below the channel, it will indicate a possible trend change.
The next critical support on the downside is the 50-day SMA ($23.82) and if this support also cracks, the decline may extend to $20.1111.
BCH / USD
The range-bound action in Bitcoin Cash (BCH) resolved to the downside today when the price dipped below the $670 ủng hộ. This breakdown showed that the equilibrium had tilted in favor of the bears.
The BCH/USD pair broke below the 20-day EMA ($610) and fell to an intraday low at $533.33 hôm nay. Tuy nhiên, the bulls aggressively purchased the dip below the $539 ủng hộ, dẫn đến một sự phục hồi mạnh mẽ.
If the price sustains above the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to push the price back into the $670 đến $745.39 phạm vi. Nếu họ thành công, it will suggest that the current correction could be over.
Ngược lại, if the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair may again drop to $539 and then to the 50-day SMA ($510).
XLM / USD
Stellar Lumens (XLM) failed to resume its uptrend in the past few days, which showed a lack of demand at higher levels. This could have attracted profit-booking from short-term traders who may have dumped their positions today.
The XLM/USD pair broke below the 20-day EMA ($0.44) và $0.409 support today, but the bulls purchased at lower levels. The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI below 58 suggest the bullish momentum may be weakening.
If the bulls fail to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to sink the price below $0.409. Nếu họ quản lý để làm điều đó, the pair could slide to the $0.35 ủng hộ.
Mặt khác, if the price sustains above the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to resume the uptrend. Nghỉ ngơi ở trên $0.535 will suggest an advantage to the bulls and may result in a retest of $0.600681.
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