比特币基本面专家声称采用指标“看起来很糟糕”

Bitcoin adoption metrics across the board “look awful”, claims a BTC fundamental expert on Twitter.

BTC Adoption Metrics Seem To Be Down

A BTC fundamental expert on Twitter claims that Bitcoin adoption metrics “look awful”, citing a few charts highlighting the important trends.

There are three relevant graphs here that the expert has pointed out, each related to the BTC address growth.

The first metric is the Daily Active Addresses, which as the name suggests shows the number of addresses active each day.

Here is how the Bitcoin Daily Active Addresses chart looks like:

Bitcoin Daily Active Addresses

BTC active addresses have plummeted recently

As is clear in the graph, the Bitcoin daily active addresses have only gone down in the last few months. 事实上, the metric seems to have almost halved when compared to the peak during the early part of the year.

The next indicator of relevance is the number of addresses with more than 1k BTC metric, which shows how many addresses have more than a thousand coins stored.

Based on the value of the metric, it becomes possible to know how many whales are still holding on to their Bitcoin.

When the value falls, it means whales have started to dump. 另一方面, when it rises, it means old whales have bought into BTC again, and/or new investors have joined in.

Here is how the chart of number of Bitcoin addresses with or more than 1k BTC in balance looks like:

Bitcoin address with more than 1000 比特币

The BTC addresses with or more than 1k coins haven't recovered since the bull run

The above graph shows that the Bitcoin whale addresses fell down when BTC peaked during the 2021 公牛奔跑, and since then the metric has shown no signs of recovery.

This means that the whales that dumped during the run haven’t bought back into BTC yet.

相关阅读 | TA: 比特币变得脆弱, 为什么 BTC 可以暴跌至 32,000 美元以下

The last metric is the BTC New Address Growth, which shows how many new addresses are made each day. Here is how its chart looks like:

Bitcoin New Addresses

BTC new addresses have been gradually going down since the start of the year

It looks like the new addresses metric has gone down to the same level as it was right after the 2018 碰撞.

相关阅读 | 比特币交易量跌至自那以来的最低水平 2020

然而, while each of these indicators might not look so good, it should be noted that they can change for the better very quickly.

比特币价格

在撰写本文时, BTC is trading around $32.8k, 下 5% 在最后 7 天. Here is a chart showing the trend in the crypto’s price:

比特币价格图表

Bitcoin seems to be on a downward trend | 资源: BTCUSD在TradingView
Featured image from Pexels.com, charts from glassnode, TradingView.com

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