比特币零售投资者对约50,000美元的价格底部充满信心

Bitcoin fell from about $60,000 几乎 $50,000 本星期, but it has not deviated retail interest, according to Robbie Liu of OKEx.

The investment analyst cited renewed buying activity near the $50,000 level among retail investors, confirmed by the rising long/short ratio and the rising USDT premium in the Asian market. The long/short ratio compares the total number of users opening long positions versus those opening short positions.

Bitcoin climbed by more than 7 percent after testing $50,000-area as its support.

Bitcoin bounces off the $50,000 区. 资源: BTCUSD在TradingView.com
Bitcoin bounces off the $50,000 区. 资源: BTCUSD在TradingView.com

Bitcoin Futures Premium

另外, he highlighted BTCUSD0326, a large-volumed bitcoin futures contract expiring in June that now trades near the $56,200 等级, 关于 5 percent higher than Bitcoin’s spot rate. Prices tend to follow futures’ bids.

“Last Friday, the premium of BTCUSD0625 jumped to 8% before quickly retracing,” alerted Mr. Liu. “The premium is now back to 5% 等级, indicating weak market expectations regarding the end of June price. 然而, since the expiration date is still far off, any increase in price could quickly drive up the premium.”

The price of futures reflects the traders' expectations of the price of Bitcoin.  资源: OKEx
The price of futures reflects the traders’ expectations of the price of Bitcoin. 资源: OKEx

The retail interest in Bitcoin climbed with the ongoing de-risking sentiment among institutional investors. Signs of a resurgent US economy, rising bond yields, and nascent inflation prompted investors to rotate out of the so-called pandemic winners, 包括比特币, and seek opportunity in markets that suffered majorly during the coronavirus lockdown.

结果是, manufacturers, banks, and retail sectors outperformed tech stocks. The US dollar index climbed higher, 以及, as longer-dated Treasury yields surged.

“Retail investors have seemingly been trying to catch the bottom around the past two days while institutions generally want to de-risk. 50,000 USDT is now becoming a key level to watch,”先生说. Liu about Bitcoin.

“The current event-driven week is ending on a weak note with all the selling pressure stepping in after the Tesla announcement. 然而, with the massive options expiry out of the way, we could see BTC move more independently over the weekend,“ 他加了.

Margin Lending Ratio

More support for the $50,000-bottom theory appeared from Bitcoin’s margin lending ratio. It is the ratio between users borrowing dollar-pegged USDT versus borrowing BTC in USDT value over a given timeframe. 通常, traders borrow USDT to buy bitcoin, and those who buy BTC aim to short it.

“The margin lending ratio has also seen a counter-trend rise during the BTC retracement, 从周围升起 8.5 到高 10.5 in the past two days,”先生说. Liu.

“This also indicates that retail investors are confident about the price floor near 50,000 USDT,“ 他加了.

Photo by André François McKenzie on Unsplash 

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