The month of September stayed true to its billing as a historically weak period for cryptocurrencies. 比特币 (比特币) closed the month with a loss of about 7%. 然而, October may bring cheer to the bulls because Bitcoin has risen in six of the past eight years, falling only in 2014 和 2018.

The bulls started the month on a positive note as bears scurried to close their short positions. Data shows that more than $270 million worth of short positions were liquidated within minutes. Bitcoin’s enthusiasm was also shared by several altcoins which have surged higher today.

每日加密货币市场表现. 资源: 硬币360

Bitcoin has closely followed PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model projections in the past two months. If PlanB is lucky enough to be right for the third time, then Bitcoin could rally to $63,000, which is the model’s prediction for October.

Although the start to the month has been strong, will bulls be able to sustain the momentum and boost crypto prices further, or will higher levels attract selling by the bears?

Let’s study the charts of the top 10 找出加密货币.

BTC / USDT

The repeated failure of the bears to sink Bitcoin below the 100-day simple moving average ($41,470) in the past few days could have attracted buying from aggressive bulls and short-covering from short-term traders.

BTC / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

The bullish momentum picked up on Oct. 1 after bulls pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($44,485). Sustained buying has driven the price above the 50-day SMA ($46,604).

If the price sustains above the 50-day SMA, the bulls will try to push the BTC/USDT pair above the right shoulder at $48,843.20. This could open the doors for an up-move to the stiff resistance at $52,920.

If the pair turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance but does not dip below the 20-day EMA, 这将表明市场情绪转为积极,交易员逢低买入. The bears will have to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA to gain the upper hand.

ETH / USDT

The long wick on Ether’s (ETH) 九月. 29 candlestick shows that bears sold at higher levels but a positive sign is that bulls did not allow the price to break below the 100-day SMA ($2,794). This shows that bulls continued to accumulate at lower levels.

ETH / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

Aggressive buying in the past two days has pushed the price to the 50-day SMA ($3,290). The zone between the 50-day SMA and the downtrend line is critical for the bears to defend because if bulls push the price above it, the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $3,676.28.

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the relative strength index (相对强弱指数) has risen into the positive territory, suggesting that bulls are making a comeback. This view will be negated if the price turns down from the current level and plunges below the 100-day SMA.

ADA / USDT

卡尔达诺 (有) bounced off the $2.02 level on Sept. 29, indicating that bulls are attempting to defend the zone between the psychological level at $2 和 $1.94. The recovery could face stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA ($2.26).

ADA / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

如果价格从20天均线下跌, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the price below the 100-day SMA ($1.89).

反之, if bulls drive and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that demand exceeds supply. The ADA/USDT pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($2.45), which is again likely to act as a stiff resistance. A break and close above this resistance could result in the bullish momentum picking up.

BNB / USDT

The sharp rally in Binance Coin (BNB) in the past two days suggests short-covering by the bears and buying by the aggressive bulls. The buyers have cleared the hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($384) and may now challenge the overhead resistance at $433.

BNB / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

如果价格从 $433 but rebounds off the 20-day EMA, 这将表明市场情绪转为积极,交易员逢低买入.

A break and close above $433 could clear the path for a possible rally to $518.90. The 20-day EMA has started to turn up and the RSI has jumped into the positive territory, indicating that bulls are attempting a comeback.

反过来, 如果价格从当前水平下跌并跌破 20 天均线, BNB / USDT对可能跌至 $340.

XRP / USDT

Ripple’s (XRP) tight range trading between the 20-day EMA ($0.99) and the 100-day SMA ($0.89) resolved to the upside on Oct. 1. The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that bulls are back in the game.

XRP / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

然而, the long wick on today’s candlestick suggests that the bears have not yet given up and are trying to defend the 50-day SMA ($1.11). 如果价格从当前水平下跌, the bears will try to pull the price to the 100-day SMA.

另一方面, if bulls thrust and sustain the price above the 50-day SMA, 这表明校正可能已经结束. The XRP/USDT pair could then start its northward march toward the stiff resistance at $1.41.

SOL / USDT

Although bears successfully defended the 20-day EMA ($142) 在过去的几天里, they could not pull Solana (溶胶) below the support zone between the 50-day SMA ($122) 和 $116. This suggests that selling dried up at lower levels.

SOL / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

The bulls have pushed the price above the 20-day EMA on Oct. 1, indicating that the corrective phase may be over. The SOL/USDT pair could now rise to the 50% 斐波那契回撤水平位于 $166 and above it to the 61.8% 回撤水平 $177.80.

If the price turns down from either resistance but bounces off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. 空头将不得不将价格拉低 $116 占上风.

点/美元

The bulls have pushed Polkadot (点) 20天均线上方 ($30.11) and the downtrend line on Oct. 1, which is the first indication that the selling pressure may be reducing.

DOT / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint suggest that bulls have a slight edge. If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to $33.60.

A break and close above this resistance could attract aggressive buying and the pair may rally to $38.77. 与此假设相反, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the neckline, the pair could enter a downtrend.

有关: Why NFTs can be a riskier investment than cryptocurrencies, 报告

DOGE / USDT

Dogecoin’s (狗狗) tight range trading between $0.19 和 $0.21 resolved to the upside on Oct. 1, indicating that bulls have absorbed the selling. The bulls will next try to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.22), which could act as a stiff resistance.

DOGE / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA but does not slip below $0.21, it will suggest that traders are buying on dips. That will increase the likelihood of a break above the 20-day EMA. 如果发生这种情况, the DOGE/USDT pair could rise to the downtrend line.

与此假设相反, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and slips below $0.21 这将表明需求在更高水平上枯竭. The bearish momentum could pick up on a close below $0.19.

LUNA/USDT

Terra protocol’s LUNA token broke below the 20-day EMA ($35.02) 九月. 28 but the bears could not capitalize on this breakdown. The bulls purchased at lower levels and pushed the price back above the 20-day EMA on Sept. 30.

LUNA / USDT日线图. 资源: 交易视图

The LUNA/USDT pair is currently facing stiff resistance at the downtrend line but the long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests that bulls are accumulating on dips. This increases the possibility of a break above the downtrend line.

If the price closes above the downtrend line, 这表明校正可能已经结束. The pair could then retest the all-time high at $45.01. This bullish view will be invalidated if the price turns down from the current level and plummets below the 50-day SMA ($32).

UNI / USDT

The bulls repeatedly failed to sustain Uniswap’s (UNI) price above the downtrend line of the descending channel in the past few days but the positive sign is that they did not give up much ground.

UNI / USDT每日图表. 资源: 交易视图

Strong buying on Oct. 1 has propelled the price above the channel and to the overhead resistance at the 50-day SMA ($25.72). This is an important level for the bears to defend because if this resistance cracks, the UNI/USDT pair could pick up momentum.

The pair could then rise to $27.62, followed by a rally to the critical resistance at $31.41. 反过来, if the price turns down from the 50-day SMA, the bears will make one more attempt to sink the pair below $22.

这里表达的观点和观点仅是作者的观点,不一定反映Cointelegraph的观点。. 每笔投资和交易动作都涉及风险. 您在做出决定时应该进行自己的研究.

市场数据由 HitBTC 交换.